Articles

Assessment of precipitation and temperature shifts in Hiiraan region of Somalia using a VAR model

,  / May 20,2026
Yahye Abdirashid Hassan &  Abdikarim Gamadid Iman Abstract The study analyzed the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature in the Hiiraan Region, Somalia, spanning 1981 to 2024, using a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. Diagnostic climate indices and trend detection methods, including the Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI), Seasonality Index (SI), Seasonal Standardized…
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Political stability, economic integration and agricultural inputs as determinants of cereal yields in the East African Community

 / May 20,2026
Abdikarim Gamadid Iman & Yahye Abdirashid Hassan Abstract Cereal production remains central to food security in the East African Community (EAC). Yet, most studies emphasize climate but neglect institutional and economic factors. This study examines how political stability, economic integration and agricultural inputs jointly influence cereal yields in eight EAC…
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Forecasting agricultural methane and nitrousoxide emissions in Ethiopia Chad and Nigeriausing machine learning models for advancingclimate smart agriculture

 / May 19,2026
AbstractAgriculture is a major contributor to non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions, mainlymethane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), whose global warming potentials (GWP) are28 and 265 times higher than that of carbon dioxide (CO2), respectively. This studypredicts CH4 and N2O emissions from agriculture in Ethiopia (ETH), Chad (TCD), andNigeria (NGA) using time…
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From scarcity to sustainability: a review of the causes, consequences, and management strategies of water scarcity in Somalia

,  / May 19,2026
Omar Aweis Ali, Deka Ahmed Siad, Abdiaziz Sudi Alasow, Abdirisack Daoud Mohamed, Abdiaziz Yusuf Abdullahi & Abdurrahman Aweis Ali  Abstract Water scarcity is a growing challenge in Somalia, especially in the Juba and Shabelle river basins, where overdependence on upstream flows from Ethiopia, frequent droughts, poor infrastructure, and weak governance systems contribute to chronic water shortages.…
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The Climate and Environmental Research Institute (CERI) is an independent, non-profit research Institute based in Somalia. We are committed to advancing climate science, promoting environmental sustainability, and strengthening natural resource governance.

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